Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

193.59 – 59.06

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

213 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.4 ±11.7

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 34.08Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 135.17Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 24.34Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.3 ±12.2

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX -5.9Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9554Portage Pythons

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 8.81Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 56.15Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 71, 1501, 8103

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 71, 1501, 8103

Auto

40.3 21%

Teleop

109.9 57%

Endgame

41.8 22%

Strengths

· 1501 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8432, 9554, 9431

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8432, 9554, 9431

Auto

20.9 35%

Teleop

22.8 38%

Endgame

16.1 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score193.6pts

Blue projected score59.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.5
Score range: 37–216
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 119.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.4Season APEX169.3

40.3Auto20.9

109.9Teleop22.8

41.8Endgame16.1

57Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	13
teleop	113	40
endgame	47	36
foul	0	0
total	213	89

Result

Final score

213 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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