Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.99 – 129.28

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 421.2 ±9.8

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 42.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 86.52Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 38.24Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.7 ±11.2

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 77.33Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1555CryoFrost

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 16.84Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 35.11Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 45, 4272, 9119

/ 100 compat

Projected

167 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 45, 4272, 9119

Auto

30.1 19%

Teleop

104.6 65%

Endgame

25.9 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1024, 1555, 1646

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1024, 1555, 1646

Auto

28.9 24%

Teleop

71.9 60%

Endgame

19.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167pts

Blue projected score129.3pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.7
Score range: 108–188
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 117.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

421.2Season APEX433.7

30.1Auto28.9

104.6Teleop71.9

25.9Endgame19.2

16Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	14
teleop	128	99
endgame	64	55
foul	0	5
total	227	173

Result

Final score

227 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.