Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.72 – 96.28

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.3 ±11.7

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 53.51Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 6.73Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 144.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.7 ±12.2

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 4.56Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 67.74Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 23.98Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5402, 10411, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5402, 10411, 3940

Auto

49.6 24%

Teleop

124.7 60%

Endgame

32.3 16%

Strengths

· 3940 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3147, 829, 8431

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3147, 829, 8431

Auto

27.4 28%

Teleop

47.7 48%

Endgame

23.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score204.7pts

Blue projected score96.3pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.4
Score range: 75–226
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 114.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.3Season APEX219.7

49.6Auto27.4

124.7Teleop47.7

32.3Endgame23.6

77Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	32
teleop	128	38
endgame	33	32
foul	15	10
total	232	112

Result

Final score

232 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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