Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
120.47 – 74.08
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
79 – 146
Prediction missed · off by 56.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 46.47Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 32.33Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64Event APEX 41.67Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.7 ±14.9
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 12.88Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 9.35Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 51.85Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6721, 8103, 5484
60
/ 100 compatProjected
120.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6721, 8103, 5484
Auto
20.7 20%
Teleop
63.4 62%
Endgame
18.4 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3936, 9530, 461
47
/ 100 compatProjected
74.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3936, 9530, 461
Auto
23.9 31%
Teleop
39.0 51%
Endgame
13.7 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score120.5pts
Blue projected score74.1pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 46.4
- Score range
- 53–141
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
241.8Season APEX236.7
20.7Auto23.9
63.4Teleop39
18.4Endgame13.7
48Consistency1
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 21 |
| teleop | 39 | 80 |
| endgame | 18 | 35 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 79 | 146 |
Result
Final score
79 – 146
Prediction missed · off by 56.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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