Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

137.83 – 115.68

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.2 ±11

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 65.27Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9453Mount Vernon Wildcats

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 15.98Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 56.58Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.7 ±11.7

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 9.03Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 4.71Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 101.94Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9431, 9453, 3176

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9431, 9453, 3176

Auto

22.9 18%

Teleop

69.8 54%

Endgame

37.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10434, 8432, 447

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10434, 8432, 447

Auto

16.4 14%

Teleop

64.7 56%

Endgame

33.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137.8pts

Blue projected score115.7pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.2
Score range: 95–159
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 148 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.2Season APEX181.7

22.9Auto16.4

69.8Teleop64.7

37.2Endgame33.9

92Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	20
teleop	67	12
endgame	15	3
foul	0	0
total	113	35

Result

Final score

113 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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