Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.49 – 231.64

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.5 ±12.4

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 22.82Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7477Giddy GOATS

Season APEX 33Event APEX 7.37Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 39.3Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.4 ±9.3

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 116.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 43.4Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 72.21Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8431, 7477, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8431, 7477, 5010

Auto

11.0 16%

Teleop

28.0 41%

Endgame

30.1 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1501, 6721, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1501, 6721, 1024

Auto

66.7 32%

Teleop

109.5 52%

Endgame

34.3 16%

Strengths

· 1501 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score231.6pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -162.1
Score range: 48–253
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.5Season APEX565.4

11Auto66.7

28Teleop109.5

30.1Endgame34.3

86Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	50
teleop	28	145
endgame	6	65
foul	0	5
total	56	265

Result

Final score

56 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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