Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.76 – 132.26

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

194 – 211

Prediction missed · off by 48.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.4 ±13.2

3936RoboBlitz 3936

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 13.99Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 94.36Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 67.41Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 279.5 ±11

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 57.7Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 39.72Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 34.84Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3936, 7457, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3936, 7457, 829

Auto

44.8 25%

Teleop

99.8 56%

Endgame

32.4 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9431, 461, 71

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9431, 461, 71

Auto

28.9 24%

Teleop

87.7 74%

Endgame

2.6 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.8pts

Blue projected score132.3pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.5
Score range: 112–196
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 113.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.4Season APEX279.5

44.8Auto28.9

99.8Teleop87.7

32.4Endgame2.6

25Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	39
teleop	118	99
endgame	36	63
foul	0	10
total	194	211

Result

Final score

194 – 211

Prediction missed · off by 48.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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