Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
79.45 – 94.02
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
52 – 92
Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 181 ±12.2
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 52.55Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 18.54Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 8.36Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 39.86Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64Event APEX 42.28Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 11.88Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 45, 9453, 8432
49
/ 100 compatProjected
79.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 45, 9453, 8432
Auto
25.8 33%
Teleop
29.3 37%
Endgame
24.2 31%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2867, 5484, 10434
54
/ 100 compatProjected
94 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2867, 5484, 10434
Auto
18.0 21%
Teleop
50.3 58%
Endgame
18.4 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score79.5pts
Blue projected score94pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -14.6
- Score range
- 58–115
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
181Season APEX198.8
25.8Auto18
29.3Teleop50.3
24.2Endgame18.4
73Consistency13
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 20 |
| teleop | 20 | 43 |
| endgame | 10 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 52 | 92 |
Result
Final score
52 – 92
Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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