Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.77 – 103.19

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.7 ±12.2

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 47.28Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 18.67Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 7.82Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426.8 ±10.8

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 34.39Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 71.43Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1555CryoFrost

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX -2.63Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2867, 8103, 3147

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2867, 8103, 3147

Auto

11.6 15%

Teleop

49.0 65%

Endgame

14.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 45, 7457, 1555

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 45, 7457, 1555

Auto

29.3 28%

Teleop

50.1 47%

Endgame

26.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.8pts

Blue projected score103.2pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.4
Score range: 54–123
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 112.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.7Season APEX426.8

11.6Auto29.3

49Teleop50.1

14.5Endgame26.5

83Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	44
teleop	24	133
endgame	19	30
foul	5	15
total	59	222

Result

Final score

59 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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