Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96 – 92.73

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

99 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.4 ±11.7

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 27.79Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 20.58Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 47.63Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.4 ±12.8

10029The Portotypes

Season APEX 21.3Event APEX -3.7Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 20.3Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 76.13Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9119, 8432, 5402

/ 100 compat

Projected

96 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9119, 8432, 5402

Auto

16.4 17%

Teleop

63.0 67%

Endgame

14.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10029, 10411, 9431

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10029, 10411, 9431

Auto

24.6 28%

Teleop

40.1 46%

Endgame

23.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96pts

Blue projected score92.7pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.3
Score range: 73–116
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 120 vs event baseline 113.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.4Season APEX153.4

16.4Auto24.6

63Teleop40.1

14.5Endgame23.4

79Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	16
teleop	58	2
endgame	15	3
foul	0	0
total	99	21

Result

Final score

99 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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