Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.02 – 78.76

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.4 ±12.2

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 20.25Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7477Giddy GOATS

Season APEX 33Event APEX 18.75Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 2.02Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.2 ±12.8

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 6.59Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 60.67Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2197Las Pumas

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 11.5Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10434, 7477, 3147

/ 100 compat

Projected

41 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10434, 7477, 3147

Auto

17.8 46%

Teleop

11.7 30%

Endgame

9.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8103, 829, 2197

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8103, 829, 2197

Auto

11.7 15%

Teleop

36.5 47%

Endgame

29.4 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score41pts

Blue projected score78.8pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.7
Score range: 21–99
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 147 vs event baseline 113.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.4Season APEX210.2

17.8Auto11.7

11.7Teleop36.5

9.4Endgame29.4

119Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	30
teleop	14	61
endgame	5	14
foul	0	5
total	37	110

Result

Final score

37 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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