Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
66.27 – 121.6
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
58 – 249
Prediction correct · off by 67.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 0.89Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 219Event APEX 41.53Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 23.85Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 4.5Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 2.87Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 114.23Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1555, 5010, 9453
46
/ 100 compatProjected
66.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1555, 5010, 9453
Auto
5.7 9%
Teleop
27.1 45%
Endgame
27.8 46%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9530, 1646, 3940
68
/ 100 compatProjected
121.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9530, 1646, 3940
Auto
32.1 26%
Teleop
64.0 52%
Endgame
25.9 21%
Strengths
- · 3940 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score66.3pts
Blue projected score121.6pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -55.3
- Score range
- 46–142
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
307.6Season APEX349.8
5.7Auto32.1
27.1Teleop64
27.8Endgame25.9
160Consistency77
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 53 |
| teleop | 6 | 158 |
| endgame | 34 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 58 | 249 |
Result
Final score
58 – 249
Prediction correct · off by 67.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.