Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

152.86 – 95.69

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 368.1 ±11.2

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 12.63Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 28.03Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 112.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231 ±11.2

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 18.28Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 46.17Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 31.24Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10411, 45, 1501

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10411, 45, 1501

Auto

45.2 30%

Teleop

66.8 44%

Endgame

39.6 26%

Strengths

· 1501 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8431, 5402, 5484

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8431, 5402, 5484

Auto

19.1 19%

Teleop

65.1 66%

Endgame

14.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score152.9pts

Blue projected score95.7pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.2
Score range: 76–173
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 110.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

368.1Season APEX231

45.2Auto19.1

66.8Teleop65.1

39.6Endgame14.9

50Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	30
teleop	94	58
endgame	48	25
foul	0	15
total	206	128

Result

Final score

206 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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