Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.1 – 82.72

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

230 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 103.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.8 ±10.4

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 33.92Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 11.6Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 103.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 412.9 ±10

9554Portage Pythons

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 8.29Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 57.51Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 16.92Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 461, 9119, 447

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 461, 9119, 447

Auto

17.5 11%

Teleop

100.3 65%

Endgame

36.0 23%

Strengths

· 447 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9554, 7457, 2867

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9554, 7457, 2867

Auto

23.0 26%

Teleop

53.6 62%

Endgame

10.4 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score149.1pts

Blue projected score82.7pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.4
Score range: 64–168
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 106.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.8Season APEX412.9

17.5Auto23

100.3Teleop53.6

36Endgame10.4

69Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	29
teleop	151	120
endgame	9	49
foul	35	10
total	230	208

Result

Final score

230 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 103.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.