Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
60.52 – 48.98
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
58 – 82
Prediction missed · off by 17.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.9 ±14.9
Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 12.4Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 19.51Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 28.61Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 0.29Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 47.02Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 21.3Event APEX 1.67Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6721, 3936, 8432
43
/ 100 compatProjected
60.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6721, 3936, 8432
Auto
16.3 34%
Teleop
15.9 33%
Endgame
15.6 33%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9071, 3176, 10029
46
/ 100 compatProjected
49 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9071, 3176, 10029
Auto
13.9 34%
Teleop
17.3 43%
Endgame
9.2 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score60.5pts
Blue projected score49pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 11.5
- Score range
- 30–80
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
195.9Season APEX203.8
16.3Auto13.9
15.9Teleop17.3
15.6Endgame9.2
91Consistency138
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 16 |
| teleop | 31 | 56 |
| endgame | 0 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 58 | 82 |
Result
Final score
58 – 82
Prediction missed · off by 17.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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