Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.45 – 219.35

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 295

Prediction correct · off by 41.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.4 ±12.8

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 16.47Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 17.49Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2197Las Pumas

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 38.49Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.6 ±11.2

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 89.63Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 101.3Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

328Penn Robotics Golden Rooks

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 28.42Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10411, 9119, 2197

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10411, 9119, 2197

Auto

10.5 16%

Teleop

41.6 63%

Endgame

13.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 447, 1501, 328

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 447, 1501, 328

Auto

22.6 11%

Teleop

119.5 57%

Endgame

68.5 33%

Strengths

· 1501 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.4pts

Blue projected score219.4pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -146.9
Score range: 53–238
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 361 vs event baseline 103.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.4Season APEX363.6

10.5Auto22.6

41.6Teleop119.5

13.9Endgame68.5

60Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	65
teleop	15	168
endgame	33	62
foul	0	0
total	66	295

Result

Final score

66 – 295

Prediction correct · off by 41.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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