Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.05 – 153.81

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

100 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 58.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.5 ±12.4

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 45.59Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9071SlicerTech

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX -12.65Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 14.11Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.2 ±11

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 11.23Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 118.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 24.1Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4272, 9071, 8432

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4272, 9071, 8432

Auto

2.7 6%

Teleop

13.6 32%

Endgame

26.2 62%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 71, 3940, 45

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 71, 3940, 45

Auto

41.4 27%

Teleop

86.2 55%

Endgame

28.0 18%

Strengths

· 3940 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.1pts

Blue projected score153.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106.8
Score range: 28–173
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 104.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318.5Season APEX296.2

2.7Auto41.4

13.6Teleop86.2

26.2Endgame28

49Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	53
teleop	41	138
endgame	29	26
foul	0	0
total	100	217

Result

Final score

100 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 58.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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