Qualification · Qualification 21
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
70.36 – 91.97
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
35 – 162
Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 148.4 ±14.9
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 33.79Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 21.3Event APEX 7.03Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 29.54Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 29.11Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 34.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64Event APEX 27.93Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2867, 10029, 3936
41
/ 100 compatProjected
70.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2867, 10029, 3936
Auto
13.1 20%
Teleop
52.9 79%
Endgame
0.7 1%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3176, 3494, 5484
63
/ 100 compatProjected
92 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3176, 3494, 5484
Auto
12.8 15%
Teleop
46.5 56%
Endgame
23.5 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score70.4pts
Blue projected score92pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -21.6
- Score range
- 51–111
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
148.4Season APEX400.6
13.1Auto12.8
52.9Teleop46.5
0.7Endgame23.5
66Consistency150
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 27 |
| teleop | 7 | 106 |
| endgame | 14 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 35 | 162 |
Result
Final score
35 – 162
Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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