Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
60.95 – 82.11
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
86 – 37
Prediction missed · off by 35.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 4.26Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 47.75Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 8.94Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 32.52Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 33.68Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 15.91Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 328, 1646, 9119
44
/ 100 compatProjected
61 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 328, 1646, 9119
Auto
1.2 2%
Teleop
28.4 50%
Endgame
26.7 47%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6721, 3147, 10411
62
/ 100 compatProjected
82.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6721, 3147, 10411
Auto
16.2 25%
Teleop
30.9 47%
Endgame
18.0 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score61pts
Blue projected score82.1pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -21.2
- Score range
- 42–101
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
286.7Season APEX226.6
1.2Auto16.2
28.4Teleop30.9
26.7Endgame18
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 24 |
| teleop | 63 | 6 |
| endgame | 15 | 2 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 86 | 37 |
Result
Final score
86 – 37
Prediction missed · off by 35.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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