Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
131.73 – 65.22
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
232 – 53
Prediction correct · off by 56.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 39.3Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 56.04Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 36.39Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.2 ±15.8
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 11.69Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 49.91Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 3.62Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 829, 9431, 4272
78
/ 100 compatProjected
131.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 829, 9431, 4272
Auto
14.4 11%
Teleop
71.2 56%
Endgame
41.0 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9071, 3936, 8431
42
/ 100 compatProjected
65.2 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9071, 3936, 8431
Auto
27.8 45%
Teleop
38.7 62%
Endgame
-4.4 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score131.7pts
Blue projected score65.2pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 66.5
- Score range
- 47–150
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
436.8Season APEX136.2
14.4Auto27.8
71.2Teleop38.7
41Endgame-4.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 53 | 11 |
| teleop | 132 | 24 |
| endgame | 47 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 232 | 53 |
Result
Final score
232 – 53
Prediction correct · off by 56.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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