Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
44.84 – 103.39
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
118 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 66.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 14.76Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 26.28Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33Event APEX 3.8Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 50.49Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 21.3Event APEX 26.62Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 26.28Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 45, 3176, 7477
44
/ 100 compatProjected
44.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 45, 3176, 7477
Auto
5.8 13%
Teleop
26.9 60%
Endgame
12.0 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 461, 10029, 9554
70
/ 100 compatProjected
103.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 461, 10029, 9554
Auto
24.0 26%
Teleop
52.4 56%
Endgame
17.3 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score44.8pts
Blue projected score103.4pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -58.5
- Score range
- 27–121
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
271.9Season APEX224.9
5.8Auto24
26.9Teleop52.4
12Endgame17.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 14 |
| teleop | 74 | 30 |
| endgame | 24 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 118 | 44 |
Result
Final score
118 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 66.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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