Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.43 – 87.35

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323.7 ±12.4

10332Carroll Charger Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 25.15Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 19.65Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 4.63Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 526.6 ±10.2

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 46.31Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 25.15Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 15.89Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10332, 1024, 10411

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10332, 1024, 10411

Auto

8.9 17%

Teleop

31.5 60%

Endgame

11.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7457, 5010, 8432

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 5010, 8432

Auto

15.0 18%

Teleop

48.4 57%

Endgame

20.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.4pts

Blue projected score87.4pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.9
Score range: 31–105
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 99.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323.7Season APEX526.6

8.9Auto15

31.5Teleop48.4

11.8Endgame20.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	19
teleop	48	61
endgame	18	56
foul	0	15
total	104	151

Result

Final score

104 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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