Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.7 – 59.96

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

101 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 7.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.5 ±11.2

328Penn Robotics Golden Rooks

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 23.1Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

135Penn Robotics Black Knights

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 17.03Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 74.57Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.3 ±13.9

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 6.9Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 23.74Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 29.32Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 328, 135, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 328, 135, 829

Auto

26.9 24%

Teleop

62.8 55%

Endgame

23.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8432, 8103, 8431

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8432, 8103, 8431

Auto

12.0 20%

Teleop

28.3 48%

Endgame

18.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.7pts

Blue projected score60pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.7
Score range: 35–140
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 159 vs event baseline 136.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.5Season APEX135.3

26.9Auto12

62.8Teleop28.3

23.6Endgame18.7

32Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	11
teleop	55	34
endgame	35	13
foul	0	0
total	101	58

Result

Final score

101 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 7.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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