Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
243.8 – 293.17
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
91 – 184
Prediction correct · off by 131 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.9 ±8.8
Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 100.76Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 36.1Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 106.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 48Event APEX 7.16Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 145.95Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 140.06Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7457, 2867, 4272
80
/ 100 compatProjected
243.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7457, 2867, 4272
Auto
36.5 16%
Teleop
126.7 54%
Endgame
71.6 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10434, 1501, 3940
84
/ 100 compatProjected
293.2 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10434, 1501, 3940
Auto
76.2 26%
Teleop
146.0 51%
Endgame
65.6 23%
Strengths
- · 1501 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score243.8pts
Blue projected score293.2pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -49.4
- Score range
- 219–318
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
596.9Season APEX409.3
36.5Auto76.2
126.7Teleop146
71.6Endgame65.6
18Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 67 |
| teleop | 53 | 68 |
| endgame | 7 | 44 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 91 | 184 |
Result
Final score
91 – 184
Prediction correct · off by 131 pts
Match videos
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