Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

165.28 – 175.24

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

115 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.9 ±11.7

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 55.5Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3487Red Pride Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 43.62Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 66.16Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.7 ±11.2

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 56.07Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 55.94Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 63.23Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 292, 3487, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 292, 3487, 1741

Auto

33.4 20%

Teleop

90.4 55%

Endgame

39.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2867, 1018, 234

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2867, 1018, 234

Auto

31.0 18%

Teleop

90.1 52%

Endgame

53.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.3pts

Blue projected score175.2pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10
Score range: 132–208
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 182.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.9Season APEX282.7

33.4Auto31

90.4Teleop90.1

39.8Endgame53

35Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	30
teleop	25	144
endgame	46	43
foul	0	5
total	115	222

Result

Final score

115 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 pts

Match videos

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