Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

291.43 – 171.09

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 530.6 ±9.8

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 131.37Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 34.13Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 125.93Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.9 ±11.7

7617RoboBlazers

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 45.92Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1555CryoFrost

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 44.77Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 80.4Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 461, 4982, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 461, 4982, 10021

Auto

50.3 17%

Teleop

164.6 57%

Endgame

76.2 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 4%

Blue · 7617, 1555, 1646

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7617, 1555, 1646

Auto

35.1 21%

Teleop

90.8 55%

Endgame

40.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 4%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score291.4pts

Blue projected score171.1pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 120.3
Score range: 138–324
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 368 vs event baseline 185.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

530.6Season APEX296.9

50.3Auto35.1

164.6Teleop90.8

76.2Endgame40.1

20Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	21
teleop	138	69
endgame	66	36
foul	5	5
total	237	131

Result

Final score

237 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.