Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

194.97 – 106.29

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

200 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.7 ±9.3

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 55.14Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 95.14Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 44.69Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203 ±14.9

10172Apex Archers

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 57.71Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7695Trojan Thunder

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 28.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 20.29Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1741, 234, 3176

/ 100 compat

Projected

195 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1741, 234, 3176

Auto

33.9 17%

Teleop

120.0 62%

Endgame

41.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10172, 7695, 4580

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10172, 7695, 4580

Auto

14.6 14%

Teleop

50.9 48%

Endgame

40.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195pts

Blue projected score106.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.7
Score range: 77–224
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 230 vs event baseline 162.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.7Season APEX203

33.9Auto14.6

120Teleop50.9

41Endgame40.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	11
teleop	130	16
endgame	28	3
foul	0	0
total	200	30

Result

Final score

200 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.