Qualification · Qualification 70
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
65.13 – 60.37
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
83 – 115
Prediction missed · off by 36.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX -15.52Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 55.18Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 25.47Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 2.11Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74Event APEX 50.04Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 8.22Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2171, 292, 7198
40
/ 100 compatProjected
65.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2171, 292, 7198
Auto
17.6 30%
Teleop
26.7 45%
Endgame
15.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 328, 1018, 10172
37
/ 100 compatProjected
60.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 328, 1018, 10172
Auto
12.6 22%
Teleop
24.6 44%
Endgame
19.2 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score65.1pts
Blue projected score60.4pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 4.8
- Score range
- 27–98
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
157.4Season APEX170.1
17.6Auto12.6
26.7Teleop24.6
15.3Endgame19.2
63Consistency73
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 26 |
| teleop | 28 | 51 |
| endgame | 26 | 38 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 83 | 115 |
Result
Final score
83 – 115
Prediction missed · off by 36.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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