Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
154.57 – 137.75
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
163 – 128
Prediction correct · off by 9.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 32.86Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67Event APEX 62Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 59.71Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 62Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 32.04Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 43.71Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 829, 3487, 71
68
/ 100 compatProjected
154.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 829, 3487, 71
Auto
43.7 29%
Teleop
76.9 50%
Endgame
32.6 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 4982, 2171, 7617
62
/ 100 compatProjected
137.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4982, 2171, 7617
Auto
25.3 18%
Teleop
79.0 57%
Endgame
33.3 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score154.6pts
Blue projected score137.8pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 16.8
- Score range
- 108–185
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.3Season APEX247.2
43.7Auto25.3
76.9Teleop79
32.6Endgame33.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 26 |
| teleop | 89 | 57 |
| endgame | 32 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 163 | 128 |
Result
Final score
163 – 128
Prediction correct · off by 9.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.