Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

321.71 – 117.22

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

404 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.4 ±9.4

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 233.06Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 24.95Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 63.7Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.8 ±11.7

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 23.99Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 63.67Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4485Tribe Tech Robotics

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 29.56Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7457, 6956, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 6956, 829

Auto

70.7 22%

Teleop

190.1 60%

Endgame

56.0 18%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 71, 234, 4485

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 71, 234, 4485

Auto

29.9 25%

Teleop

51.7 43%

Endgame

38.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score321.7pts

Blue projected score117.2pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 204.5
Score range: 85–354
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 541 vs event baseline 180.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.4Season APEX238.8

70.7Auto29.9

190.1Teleop51.7

56Endgame38.8

94Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	97	24
teleop	255	54
endgame	52	49
foul	0	10
total	404	137

Result

Final score

404 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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