Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
107.84 – 315.38
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
121 – 353
Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±12.8
Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 45.23Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 18.71Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 43.9Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 603 ±8.7
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 138.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 64.3Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 112.59Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7617, 8742, 1555
46
/ 100 compatProjected
107.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7617, 8742, 1555
Auto
21.1 20%
Teleop
51.2 49%
Endgame
31.9 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4272, 1741, 3494
83
/ 100 compatProjected
315.4 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4272, 1741, 3494
Auto
61.2 20%
Teleop
178.5 57%
Endgame
73.8 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score107.8pts
Blue projected score315.4pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -207.5
- Score range
- 76–347
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
198.1Season APEX603
21.1Auto61.2
51.2Teleop178.5
31.9Endgame73.8
30Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 51 |
| teleop | 47 | 213 |
| endgame | 45 | 89 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 121 | 353 |
Result
Final score
121 – 353
Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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