Qualification · Qualification 63
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
113 – 218.79
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
142 – 196
Prediction correct · off by 25.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.6 ±14
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 21.07Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 63.51Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 28.42Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 74Event APEX 54.88Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 48.69Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 115.22Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 71, 1741, 7695
49
/ 100 compatProjected
113 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 71, 1741, 7695
Auto
26.8 24%
Teleop
63.4 56%
Endgame
23.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1018, 7617, 3494
74
/ 100 compatProjected
218.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 1018, 7617, 3494
Auto
52.0 24%
Teleop
103.7 49%
Endgame
57.2 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score113pts
Blue projected score218.8pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -105.8
- Score range
- 81–251
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
275.6Season APEX369.4
26.8Auto52
63.4Teleop103.7
23Endgame57.2
30Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 35 |
| teleop | 51 | 119 |
| endgame | 44 | 37 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 142 | 196 |
Result
Final score
142 – 196
Prediction correct · off by 25.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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