Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
122.22 – 69.97
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 202
Prediction missed · off by 108.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 23.49Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 34.11Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 64.62Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173 ±13.9
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 33.7Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 8.39Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 27.88Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8742, 7198, 10332
54
/ 100 compatProjected
122.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8742, 7198, 10332
Auto
29.1 24%
Teleop
59.8 50%
Endgame
30.5 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1555, 3865, 3487
35
/ 100 compatProjected
70 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 1555, 3865, 3487
Auto
21.1 31%
Teleop
22.8 34%
Endgame
23.1 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score122.2pts
Blue projected score70pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 52.3
- Score range
- 38–154
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
133.3Season APEX173
29.1Auto21.1
59.8Teleop22.8
30.5Endgame23.1
50Consistency42
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 37 |
| teleop | 12 | 106 |
| endgame | 6 | 59 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 202 |
Result
Final score
37 – 202
Prediction missed · off by 108.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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