Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

267.12 – 448.44

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

141 – 494

Prediction correct · off by 85.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.7 ±11.7

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 136.96Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9530John Adams Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 44.93Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 85.23Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 643.2 ±8.8

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 82.69Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 132.8Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 232.95Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 461, 9530, 6721

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 461, 9530, 6721

Auto

36.8 14%

Teleop

145.2 55%

Endgame

81.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 3176, 4272, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

448.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3176, 4272, 7457

Auto

72.7 17%

Teleop

257.3 58%

Endgame

110.3 25%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score267.1pts

Blue projected score448.4pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -181.3
Score range: 235–480
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 635 vs event baseline 177.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318.7Season APEX643.2

36.8Auto72.7

145.2Teleop257.3

81.1Endgame110.3

30Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	66
teleop	87	320
endgame	10	93
foul	0	15
total	141	494

Result

Final score

141 – 494

Prediction correct · off by 85.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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