Qualification · Qualification 59
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
76.14 – 135.18
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
92 – 116
Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 19.34Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 8.49Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 48.31Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 84.26Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 17.18Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 33.74Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 71, 10172, 2867
35
/ 100 compatProjected
76.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 71, 10172, 2867
Auto
16.5 21%
Teleop
49.9 63%
Endgame
12.3 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 5402, 4580, 1555
59
/ 100 compatProjected
135.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5402, 4580, 1555
Auto
31.0 23%
Teleop
69.6 52%
Endgame
34.0 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.1pts
Blue projected score135.2pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -59
- Score range
- 44–167
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
177.6Season APEX254.5
16.5Auto31
49.9Teleop69.6
12.3Endgame34
31Consistency102
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 47 |
| teleop | 38 | 55 |
| endgame | 22 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 92 | 116 |
Result
Final score
92 – 116
Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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