Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.29 – 114.23

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 15 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±14.5

7477Giddy GOATS

Season APEX 33Event APEX 25.28Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

135Penn Robotics Black Knights

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 20.51Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7695Trojan Thunder

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 26.5Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192 ±12.2

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 60.08Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 31.51Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8742Argyll Attack

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 22.64Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7477, 135, 7695

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7477, 135, 7695

Auto

12.5 19%

Teleop

32.4 49%

Endgame

20.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 292, 6956, 8742

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 292, 6956, 8742

Auto

20.6 18%

Teleop

59.9 53%

Endgame

33.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.3pts

Blue projected score114.2pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.9
Score range: 40–146
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 180.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.3Season APEX192

12.5Auto20.6

32.4Teleop59.9

20.6Endgame33

60Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	24
teleop	39	50
endgame	22	19
foul	0	5
total	86	98

Result

Final score

86 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 15 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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