Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.67 – 234.55

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 359

Prediction correct · off by 64.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160 ±13.3

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 52.27Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7198Fearsome Gears

Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 34.91Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3865Riley WildBots

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 7.49Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 558.1 ±9.8

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 110.85Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 67.18Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 56.52Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1018, 7198, 3865

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1018, 7198, 3865

Auto

16.8 18%

Teleop

44.5 49%

Endgame

29.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10021, 1646, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10021, 1646, 829

Auto

39.4 17%

Teleop

140.9 61%

Endgame

50.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.7pts

Blue projected score234.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -139.9
Score range: 63–267
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 449 vs event baseline 179.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160Season APEX558.1

16.8Auto39.4

44.5Teleop140.9

29.6Endgame50.9

80Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	54
teleop	27	236
endgame	36	69
foul	5	0
total	90	359

Result

Final score

90 – 359

Prediction correct · off by 64.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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