Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.53 – 122.49

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

324 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.2 ±11.2

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 128.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 80.54Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10332Carroll Charger Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 59.48Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±9.8

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 47.65Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 60.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 13.91Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4272, 6721, 10332

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4272, 6721, 10332

Auto

46.0 18%

Teleop

148.1 57%

Endgame

66.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4982, 1741, 4580

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4982, 1741, 4580

Auto

31.3 25%

Teleop

70.2 56%

Endgame

24.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score268.5pts

Blue projected score122.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146
Score range: 90–301
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 179.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.2Season APEX346.8

46Auto31.3

148.1Teleop70.2

66.2Endgame24.3

100Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	36
teleop	193	87
endgame	86	32
foul	0	0
total	324	155

Result

Final score

324 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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