Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

392.89 – 244.18

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

484 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 68 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518 ±9.4

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 224.93Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7617RoboBlazers

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 40.31Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 127.65Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 465.2 ±10.7

10172Apex Archers

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 6.73Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3494The Quadrangles

Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 112.69Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 124.76Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7457, 7617, 461

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 7617, 461

Auto

88.6 23%

Teleop

221.0 58%

Endgame

74.2 19%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 10172, 3494, 1501

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10172, 3494, 1501

Auto

66.1 27%

Teleop

120.0 50%

Endgame

54.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score392.9pts

Blue projected score244.2pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 148.7
Score range: 212–425
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 773 vs event baseline 175.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518Season APEX465.2

88.6Auto66.1

221Teleop120

74.2Endgame54.4

109Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	82
teleop	267	159
endgame	159	43
foul	0	5
total	484	289

Result

Final score

484 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 68 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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