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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIN District Lafayette Event

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.61 – 46.56

82%18%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 58 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.5 ±11
292PantherTech
D
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 52.66Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2867ElkLogics
C
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 40.85Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5402Wreckless Robotics
C
Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 75.1Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.5 ±13.3
71Team Hammond
D
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 22.43Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
8742Argyll Attack
D
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 30.04Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2171RoboDogs
D
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX -5.91Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 292, 2867, 5402
59
/ 100 compat
Projected
168.6 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 292, 2867, 5402
Auto
35.1 21%
Teleop
99.7 58%
Endgame
36.4 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 71, 8742, 2171
26
/ 100 compat
Projected
46.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 71, 8742, 2171
Auto
2.0 5%
Teleop
29.7 67%
Endgame
12.7 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score168.6pts
Blue projected score46.6pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
122.1
Score range
15–201
Upset likelihood
18%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 176.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.5Season APEX162.5
35.1Auto2
99.7Teleop29.7
36.4Endgame12.7
38Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto607
teleop14711
endgame6112
foul00
total26830

Result

Final score

268 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 58 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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