Qualification · Qualification 5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
201.73 – 327.7
17%83%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
202 – 333
Prediction correct · off by 2.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 12.11Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 52.4Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 137.22Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.5 ±10.2
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 15.46Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 249.36Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 62.88Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10172, 292, 4272
65
/ 100 compatProjected
201.7 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10172, 292, 4272
Auto
30.8 15%
Teleop
106.2 53%
Endgame
62.0 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3865, 7457, 234
84
/ 100 compatProjected
327.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3865, 7457, 234
Auto
64.1 20%
Teleop
188.9 58%
Endgame
71.7 22%
Strengths
- · 7457 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score201.7pts
Blue projected score327.7pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -126
- Score range
- 167–363
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
354.3Season APEX455.5
30.8Auto64.1
106.2Teleop188.9
62Endgame71.7
70Consistency65
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 54 |
| teleop | 112 | 198 |
| endgame | 75 | 81 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 202 | 333 |
Result
Final score
202 – 333
Prediction correct · off by 2.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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