Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.17 – 162.84

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

375 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.7 ±10.8

9530John Adams Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 22.97Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 27.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 215.77Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.5 ±10.5

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 10.51Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3494The Quadrangles

Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 114.37Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7198Fearsome Gears

Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 37.96Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9530, 2867, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9530, 2867, 7457

Auto

62.3 24%

Teleop

152.5 59%

Endgame

43.8 17%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4580, 3494, 7198

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4580, 3494, 7198

Auto

51.3 32%

Teleop

80.7 50%

Endgame

29.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266.2pts

Blue projected score162.8pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.3
Score range: 132–297
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 558 vs event baseline 174.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.7Season APEX317.5

62.3Auto51.3

152.5Teleop80.7

43.8Endgame29.9

88Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	39
teleop	210	82
endgame	82	62
foul	0	0
total	375	183

Result

Final score

375 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.