Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.67 – 234.6

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.4 ±13.3

10332Carroll Charger Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 56.87Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 28.52Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

328Penn Robotics Golden Rooks

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 13.28Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.3 ±11.2

3487Red Pride Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 35.34Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 133.22Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 66.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10332, 71, 328

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10332, 71, 328

Auto

33.1 33%

Teleop

53.6 53%

Endgame

13.6 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3487, 4272, 5402

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3487, 4272, 5402

Auto

52.9 23%

Teleop

112.1 48%

Endgame

67.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.7pts

Blue projected score234.6pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.9
Score range: 67–267
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 175.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.4Season APEX423.3

33.1Auto52.9

53.6Teleop112.1

13.6Endgame67.9

77Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	34
teleop	32	170
endgame	11	82
foul	0	0
total	59	286

Result

Final score

59 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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