Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIN District Lafayette Event

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.28 – 95.51

52%48%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 296 ±10.4
7617RoboBlazers
C
Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 46.77Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4580Conductors
C
Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 4.93Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
829The Digital Goats
C
Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 50.58Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238 ±11.2
3865Riley WildBots
D
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 15.85Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
4982Olympus Robotics
C
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 49.47Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
135Penn Robotics Black Knights
C
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 30.19Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7617, 4580, 829
48
/ 100 compat
Projected
102.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7617, 4580, 829
Auto
38.1 38%
Teleop
41.2 41%
Endgame
21.2 21%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3865, 4982, 135
44
/ 100 compat
Projected
95.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3865, 4982, 135
Auto
23.9 24%
Teleop
43.0 44%
Endgame
31.9 32%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score102.3pts
Blue projected score95.5pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
6.8
Score range
65–133
Upset likelihood
48%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 174.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

296Season APEX238
38.1Auto23.9
41.2Teleop43
21.2Endgame31.9
117Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2719
teleop7241
endgame138
foul00
total11268

Result

Final score

112 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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