Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.99 – 125.73

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.7 ±11.2

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX -3.61Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

135Penn Robotics Black Knights

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 28.73Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2171RoboDogs

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 2.87Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.1 ±14.9

7695Trojan Thunder

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 32.65Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4485Tribe Tech Robotics

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 21.51Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 71.57Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4580, 135, 2171

/ 100 compat

Projected

28 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4580, 135, 2171

Auto

4.1 14%

Teleop

23.0 81%

Endgame

1.2 4%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7695, 4485, 6721

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7695, 4485, 6721

Auto

15.7 13%

Teleop

67.7 57%

Endgame

36.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28pts

Blue projected score125.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.7
Score range: -4–158
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 177.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.7Season APEX264.1

4.1Auto15.7

23Teleop67.7

1.2Endgame36.1

92Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	24
teleop	26	11
endgame	15	66
foul	0	15
total	66	116

Result

Final score

66 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.