Qualification · Qualification 39
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
155.01 – 170.64
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
87 – 185
Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 58.68Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 23.46Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 72.87Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 36.95Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 124.41Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 9.28Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7617, 3865, 1646
58
/ 100 compatProjected
155 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7617, 3865, 1646
Auto
30.3 20%
Teleop
72.5 49%
Endgame
45.7 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7198, 4272, 9530
65
/ 100 compatProjected
170.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7198, 4272, 9530
Auto
37.9 23%
Teleop
70.5 42%
Endgame
59.0 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score155pts
Blue projected score170.6pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15.6
- Score range
- 123–203
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
309.5Season APEX307.1
30.3Auto37.9
72.5Teleop70.5
45.7Endgame59
31Consistency137
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 43 |
| teleop | 52 | 91 |
| endgame | 3 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 87 | 185 |
Result
Final score
87 – 185
Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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