Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.38 – 226.08

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

230 – 194

Prediction missed · off by 59.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.8 ±12.4

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 62.63Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10332Carroll Charger Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 50.73Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 30.02Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 464.8 ±9.8

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 59.67Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 114.28Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 52.13Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1018, 10332, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1018, 10332, 1741

Auto

38.4 27%

Teleop

74.7 53%

Endgame

27.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5402, 10021, 6956

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5402, 10021, 6956

Auto

35.3 16%

Teleop

127.8 57%

Endgame

60.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.4pts

Blue projected score226.1pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.7
Score range: 111–258
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 175.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284.8Season APEX464.8

38.4Auto35.3

74.7Teleop127.8

27.4Endgame60.8

84Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	36
teleop	144	117
endgame	36	41
foul	5	0
total	230	194

Result

Final score

230 – 194

Prediction missed · off by 59.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.