Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.24 – 224.48

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 148.8 ±13.3

7477Giddy GOATS

Season APEX 33Event APEX 53.53Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 51.86Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9530John Adams Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 11.85Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.9 ±11

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 83.46Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7617RoboBlazers

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 90.58Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 50.44Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7477, 292, 9530

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7477, 292, 9530

Auto

11.9 10%

Teleop

62.6 55%

Endgame

40.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5402, 7617, 71

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5402, 7617, 71

Auto

35.0 16%

Teleop

123.5 56%

Endgame

60.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.2pts

Blue projected score224.5pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.2
Score range: 86–255
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 173.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

148.8Season APEX255.9

11.9Auto35

62.6Teleop123.5

40Endgame60.9

85Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	48
teleop	42	74
endgame	28	26
foul	10	5
total	101	153

Result

Final score

101 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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