Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
109.47 – 160.59
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
108 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 30 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 33.93Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 17.61Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 57.93Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 75.38Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 32.26Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 52.95Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4485, 135, 6956
49
/ 100 compatProjected
109.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4485, 135, 6956
Auto
14.1 13%
Teleop
62.5 58%
Endgame
30.3 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1646, 10172, 7198
58
/ 100 compatProjected
160.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1646, 10172, 7198
Auto
27.8 17%
Teleop
102.4 62%
Endgame
34.7 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score109.5pts
Blue projected score160.6pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -51.1
- Score range
- 77–193
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
217.6Season APEX232.3
14.1Auto27.8
62.5Teleop102.4
30.3Endgame34.7
106Consistency62
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 24 |
| teleop | 48 | 51 |
| endgame | 45 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 108 | 102 |
Result
Final score
108 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 30 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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