Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

129.84 – 330.37

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

183 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 54.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.2 ±11.2

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 110.59Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 40.53Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX -21.28Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 567 ±9.3

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 146.17Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 45.6Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 138.6Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 234, 1018, 4580

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 234, 1018, 4580

Auto

21.1 17%

Teleop

78.1 61%

Endgame

27.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1501, 829, 4272

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1501, 829, 4272

Auto

57.3 17%

Teleop

204.5 61%

Endgame

76.0 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.8pts

Blue projected score330.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -200.5
Score range: 99–361
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 174.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.2Season APEX567

21.1Auto57.3

78.1Teleop204.5

27.9Endgame76

124Consistency177

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	79
teleop	102	120
endgame	53	70
foul	0	5
total	183	274

Result

Final score

183 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 54.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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